If there was one important thing I learned in economics, it’s that everything comes in cycles. It should have been no surprise to anyone that home prices were going to run out of rocket fuel, but even after 2 similar booms during the 70’s and 80’s, people still cry out and say “How could this happen?!?!”
I may be a man who’s only one year out of college, but I knew that the housing bubble was going to burst way before it happened. How did I know? Because the numbers made no sense!
Before I get into the housing market bubble, let me explain how I come to my conclusions. I come to my conclusions by trying to find any irregularities that deviate from what the averages should be. Not that technical right?
Now that I explained my KISS method (Keeping It Simple, Stupid), please take your time to look at the graph below:

Now I have to say that I myself didn’t gather the data or do the data to make this graph, but none of the numbers here come as a surprise to me. In history, I learned that between WWI to WWII, people struggled to make ends meet, US economy had a booming economy after the war only to stall during the 70’s, and the U.S. experienced periods of strong growth in the 80’s and 90’s. See the correlation? Back to my main point, the housing bubble.
If you take a look at the two peaks during the 70’s and 80’s, it’s obvious that these pulses were abnormal. Now take a look at the huge stalagmite at the end of the graph. Common sense would tell you that something was wrong. Unfortunately sense wasn’t that all common because numerous people kept buying houses at overinflated prices.
As a result, we are in a situation where fiscally irresponsible people are stuck with mortgages for overvalued houses . Now while I do feel sympathy for those victims, I strongly opose any multibillion-dollar government bailout. The main reason is because people the fiscally responsible should be rewarded for being sensible.
There are a lot of people who bought at the wrong time, but there are also many other people who didn’t buy at the right time. If the government were to involved in helping these victims, they would only hurt the conomy more. Take a look at the graph someone else did below:

I’ll admit that this graph depicts an optimisitic timeline and drop in house prices, but I agree with the graph’s point that everything will eventually drop back to reasonable levels (and maybe even below) if you let it take its natural course. If the government makes a minimal effort to save the “victimized” homeowners, houses prices should drop to reasonable levels. The government should reward the sensible and responsible by minimizing any effort to help homeowners.